Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028349 0.033795 0.039480 0.045815 0.052640 0.059737 0.067642
2026-01-25 0.020078 0.027688 0.036172 0.046142 0.057374 0.069496 0.083436
2026-02-01 0.014611 0.023250 0.033483 0.046053 0.060706 0.076946 0.096032
2026-02-08 0.009788 0.018517 0.029591 0.043819 0.060953 0.080402 0.103689
2026-02-15 0.006874 0.015578 0.027378 0.043146 0.062645 0.085193 0.112574
2026-02-22 0.005122 0.013859 0.026436 0.043801 0.065725 0.091438 0.122986
2026-03-01 0.003804 0.012472 0.025726 0.044582 0.068828 0.097607 0.133223
2026-03-08 0.002958 0.011653 0.025678 0.046126 0.072799 0.104751 0.144552
2026-03-15 0.002122 0.010587 0.025123 0.046892 0.075718 0.110576 0.154284
2026-03-22 0.002000 0.010981 0.026775 0.050655 0.082444 0.121009 0.169474
2026-03-29 0.001129 0.009292 0.025004 0.049579 0.082887 0.123737 0.175458
2026-04-05 0.000715 0.008501 0.024570 0.050303 0.085605 0.129212 0.184689
2026-04-12 0.000340 0.007503 0.023751 0.050540 0.087819 0.134254 0.193657
2026-04-19 0.000120 0.006671 0.023122 0.051014 0.090345 0.139704 0.203163
2026-04-26 0.000008 0.005745 0.022180 0.050941 0.092086 0.144142 0.211419
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004264 0.019854 0.048590 0.090626 0.144459 0.214574
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003425 0.018654 0.047880 0.091336 0.147471 0.220982
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003022 0.018356 0.048571 0.093963 0.152911 0.230364
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002690 0.018158 0.049395 0.096758 0.158556 0.239992
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002557 0.018449 0.051022 0.100680 0.165653 0.251417
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002271 0.018266 0.051829 0.103428 0.171224 0.260946
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002626 0.019928 0.055789 0.110677 0.182637 0.277741
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001990 0.018633 0.054658 0.110637 0.184581 0.282756